Top 6 Points Delhi Find out Second Option Aam Aadmi Party Arvind Kejriwal – Aam Aadmi Party AAP win delhi election 2015 – According to polls predict that the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) will be in a comfortable position to form the next government in Delhi. And if we talk about public action & thinking then we have one Aam Aadmi Party Supporter or a common man says “AAP AAM AADMI PARTY
The public movement for a better india” or a revolution for a better india.
Because only AAP is stand for the public, so better than calling a party, i wish to call it a public movement for a better india.If we look all round us people are fed up of party signs.So let AAP be a new movement for a better india…
AAP through through mohala sabha proving it again and again that it they already set in a new revolution for shaping a new india! i feel this is the need of the hour!
All the Best AAP team india!” Source from aamaadmiparty.
So what has changed so dramatically over the past three months? How has the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) gone from being in a comfortable position to form the next government, to conceding an eight-point vote gap to Arvind Kejriwal’s party?
Here are Top six factors Today-Cicero opinion poll that could be swinging the Delhi polls in favour of Kejriwal (AAP).
Top 6 Points Delhi Find out Second Option Aam Aadmi Party Arvind Kejriwa
Top 6 Points Delhi Find out Second Option Aam Aadmi Party Arvind Kejriwa
1. Youth flocking to Kejriwal
The young voters were then candidate Narendra Modi’s biggest supporters during the Lok Sabha elections.
In opinion polls done on the Delhi elections till January 2015, the BJP was ahead of the AAP among the 18 to 25-year-old-voters. But in the latest opinion poll, a massive 51 per cent of young voters said they would vote for AAP.
This is a sharp 11 per cent increase over the last India Today-Cicero tracker done in January 2015.
The BJP’s popularity among the young voters in the same period slipped from 39 per cent to 34 per cent.
And it’s not just the young, the AAP now enjoys a seven-point gap over the BJP among middle- aged people as well.
The only age group where the AAP and the BJP are in a dead heat is 56 years and above.
2. Muslims dumping Congress, rooting for AAP
The minority community in Delhi has traditionally been an unshakable vote-bank for the Congress party. In the last Assembly elections, the Congress did well in the Muslim-dominated seats.
The minority voter was disillusioned with the Grand Old Party, but he did not know if the AAP had a fighting chance.
This time though, voters from the Muslim community have realised that the Congress has been edged out of the race, and are flocking to brace the broom.
Almost half the Muslim respondents (49 per cent) in the Cicero opinion poll said they would vote for the AAP.
This is a big jump—around 13 per cent—over the tracker poll done in December 2014.
During this same period, support for the Congress among the minorities plummeted from 38 per cent in December 2014 to 27 per cent in February 2015.
The BJP continues to be restricted to a very small share of the minority vote.
3. AAP makes inroads into outer Delhi
While the BJP maintains a relatively strong grip among upper caste Hindu voters like Brahmins, Rajputs and Banias, in this election Jats and Gujjars seem to be veering towards AAP In the last elections, they had voted for the BJP.
These communities are concentrated in outer Delhi. In 2013, the AAP had fared very poorly in these areas.Top 6 Points Delhi Find out Second Option Aam Aadmi Party Arvind Kejriwa
This time though Kejriwal has brought in reinforcements by poaching candidates from other parties and managed to build a strong party structure in outer Delhi.
This effort seems to be paying dividends for the AAP. As you move down the caste pyramid, the gap between the AAP and the BJP grows.
Among the Dalits, the AAP now enjoys a significant 18 per cent gap over the BJP.
4. Jhadoo rules the Jhuggis
Until the 2013 Assembly polls, the Congress ruled in the jhuggi-jhopri clusters of Delhi. These heavily-populated clusters are now the biggest vote bank for Kejriwal.
Compared across metrics, the AAP scores its highest vote share (53 per cent) among basti voters.
In comparison, the BJP has got only 27 per cent of the jhuggi vote in the Cicero survey, which is almost half of the votes for AAP.
The BJP has a clear lead over the AAP only in elite localities of Delhi. Apart from the jhuggis, even in the lower-income localities, the AAP seems to have been able to build a healthy 9 per cent gap over the BJP.
This is a big blow to the BJP, since Prime Minister Modi comes from a humble background himself and a large part of the Capital’s poor population had voted for the BJP in the recent Lok Sabha polls.
5. Bedi’s not pulling women voters
When the decision to bring in Kiran Bedi was taken, the BJP was hoping that she would be able to woo extra women voters, given her strong credentials on women’s safety and policing.
Unfortunately, this has not happened. Even among women voters of Delhi, the AAP enjoys a 12 per cent gap over the BJP.
What hurts the BJP most is that the party’s popularity among women voters seems to have actually come down from 39 to 35 per cent between the last tracker poll in January and now. Top 6 Points Delhi Find out Second Option Aam Aadmi Party Arvind Kejriwa
6. Negative campaign boomerangs
The party that powered the most audacious and creative Lok Sabha campaign, which left opponents in a daze, seems to have miscalculated its strategy for the Delhi elections.
The BJP went deeply negative and levelled personal charges against Kejriwal. This strategy seems to have backfired.
The BJP’s popularity among voters with very high media exposure crashed from 35 per cent in January to 27 per cent in February, while the popularity of the AAP among the same voters in this period jumped a whopping 17 per cent from 37 to 54 per cent.
The only category of people among whom the BJP maintained its popularity over the past three weeks were voters with zero or very little media exposure.
This suggests that news conscious voters have tracked the Delhi campaign closely and given a thumbs down to the BJP campaign while liking the new avatar of the AAP.
Modi remains the most potent electoral force for the BJP in Delhi. The party’s only hope over the next couple of days is to play the Modi card as prominently as it can and try to convince voters that having Modi on their side can make a big difference to the quality of their lives. Top 6 Points Delhi Find out Second Option Aam Aadmi Party and Arvind Kejriwal
In a battle between Modi and Kejriwal, the former may have triumphed but the BJP seems to have scored a self goal by making the elections a battle between Kejriwal and Bedi.
Top 6 Points Delhi Find out Second Option Aam Aadmi Party Arvind Kejriwa : The BJP is keeping a close eye on its local leaders to ensure that there is no scope for sabotage. Party president Amit Shah has come down with a heavy hand on sulking divas of the Delhi BJP.The party is also hoping that the adverse opinion poll results will jolt workers, who have been unhappy with Bedi’s inclusion and they will step out of their ocoon and make a last-ditch effort to draw voters to the polling booths.(Aam Aadmi Party AAP win delhi election 2015) The level of engagement of local party workers can be crucial in a close election where the margin of victory is often just a few thousand votes. Here you find about what you need Top 6 Points Delhi Find out Second Option Aam Aadmi Party Arvind Kejriwa